Posts Tagged ‘government debt’

One Trillion Landmark for Government Debt

Wednesday, January 25th, 2012

The Office for National Statistic has released data which shows that net public sector debt, excluding financial interventions, reached a new high of 64.2% of GDP, according to the Centre for Economics and Business Research.

This increase has taken net public sector debt to over one trillion pounds which is a significant rise on the figure for the previous month where net  public sector debt was of 62.8% of GDP which was equivalent to £977.1 billion.

There is a faint silver lining to this dark cloud. Today’s data showed that public sector net borrowing excluding financial interventions came in at £13.7 billion in December 2011.

Always looking at the bright side of things it is worth nothing that  public sector net borrowing excluding financial interventions came in at £13.7 billion in December 2011 which was down on the £16.8 billion figure for December 2010 – a drop of 18.5%. Cumulative net public sector borrowing for the financial year to December has been declining since the 2009/10 financial year.

This is a consistent sign of improvement in the public finances.

Taking a deeper look into today’s figures, current receipts were £42.2 billion in December, a somewhat better showing than was achieved last December when receipts were £39.3 billion. 

This represents a year-on-year increase of 7.0%, which is encouraging when compared to the previous December’s year-on-year current receipts growth rate of 4.2%. 

The government’s focus on fiscal prudence has delivered one worthwhile reward: low interest rates on its debt. 

A UK 10 year government bond now has a yield of 2.2%. Although, in signs that markets don’t find the UK’s debt reduction policies entirely credible, this figures has risen over the month. 

Low expected inflation in the future means that 10 year UK bonds will offer almost no real return if they only pay out 2.2%, so this rate may well continue to climb.

Despite these mitigating factors, today’s data will make mixed reading for the government. They are on the right track, but are moving forward much more slowly than they had planned. 

The Office for Budget Responsibility’s projections for deficit reduction, despite having undergone several downward revisions, are still overly bullish. 

The OBR’s latest Economic and Fiscal Outlook publication predicts that annual GDP growth of 3.0% by 2015 and that public sector net borrowing will have fallen to 1.2% of GDP by 2016-17. The second prediction relies on the first holding true. 

Since the first prediction is unlikely to hold, the second probably won’t either. The data released today by the ONS simply drive home the point that the government is likely to miss its deficit reduction targets.

Recession Causing Rising Bad Tax Debt

Monday, November 23rd, 2009

Over £11 billion in unpaid taxes is being written off by the Government this year as tax revenues continue to fall as the recession continues to bite.

Recently released figures show that £27.7 billion of tax went unpaid in 2008-2009 and out of the amount, £11.2 billion has been written off by Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs (HMRC) as bad debt. This is an increase on the year previous which had figures of £25 billion of unpaid taxes with £7.9 billion written off as unrecoverable bad debt.

Analysts have said that the non-payments will pose additional issues for the Treasury, adding to an already steep decline in receipts from income tax and corporation tax, which looks set to struggle in sync with the recession.

The Treasury have said that bad tax debts, which were revealed in the HMRC annual report, were a reflection of both the current economic downturn and changes in policy. An increase in debtors, falling debt collection rates and increases in corporate and personal insolvencies also had blame placed upon them.

Lord Myners, the Treasury minister, said that of tax uncollected almost 90 per cent was due to business insolvency and that the bad debts accounted for one per cent of all tax. “That is extraordinarily good record of debt recovery which most businesses would find hard to match.”

However, opposition politicians have accused the Government of “astonishing complacency and incompetence” in the chasing and recovery of tax and said that responsible taxpayers were bearing the burden of ministers’ failures.

Lord Oakeshott of Seagrove Bay who is the Liberal Democrat treasury spokesman, said “HMRC is an organisation in meltdown and denial and it is costing honest taxpayers billions when we can least afford it while the cheats go scot free. This rising torrent of tax bad debt, year after year, is a shocking indictment of management failure at HMRC and grossly unfair to honest taxpayers.”

The party calculates that the tax written off as bad debt will cost the average family an extra £465 a year.
Other revelations to have come out of the report show that the Treasury have been chasing over-payments of benefits worth nearly £2 billion. In parliamentary answers, Lord Myners, the Financial Services Secretary to the Treasury, said “The value of benefit over-payments to be recovered, as on 31 March 2009, is £1.8 billion.” He went on to say that ministers were continuing “vigorously to pursue those who can pay but will not.”

The pre-Budget report, to be unveiled by the Chancellor Alistair Darling on December 9, is expected to announce a crackdown on tax avoidance. Dave Hartnett, the permanent secretary at HM Revenue and Customs, has been conducting a review of the tax system with a view to closing loopholes.

An amnesty over voluntary disclosure of foreign bank accounts or assets will come to an end in two weeks and banks are already providing details of offshore accounts and customers failing to disclose any untaxed assets.

Mr Hartnett, who is leading a team of 20 specialist inspectors, has said that he expects the amnesty will provide details of half a million offshore bank accounts.

Meanwhile, an internal survey of staff morale at HMRC has reported that nearly 70 per cent are unhappy. Only 11 per cent of respondents in the department’s own study said HMRC was “well managed” and the same low number said they had confidence in the management. Only 38 per cent said they believed in the objectives of HMRC while only 25 per cent said they were proud to work there.

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